Week 3 · the locked card
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Eagles at BearsFirst touchdown odds and our picks, kickoff Mon 8:15pm ET.
Bet of the game
Saquon Barkley +500
At DraftKings. Model 18.9%, market 13.7%.
Missed
To score first
PHI 57%
From the spread, PHI -4.6
Market favorite
Saquon Barkley
+500, the shortest price
First touchdown
Luther Burden III
CHI scored first, +1700
2 in this game, each written up. The starred pick is the one that counts on the record.
Saquon BarkleyRBBet of the gameValueFree pickMissed+500DraftKings19 carries leads this backfield. When goal-line role and volume split, the goal-line back scores 61% of the time. PHI have scored the game's opening TD in 1 of 2 this season (12 of 17 last year); CHI have conceded it in 1 of 2 (7 of 17 last year). The model makes PHI 57% to score this game's first touchdown. Model 18.9% against a devigged market 13.7%: +13% EV at +500 (DraftKings).
Model 18.9%, market 13.7%, edge +13%
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Best price for all 26 players the books list, shortest first.