Who is favored to score the first touchdown in Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints?

The market favorite for first touchdown scorer in ATL @ NO is Bijan Robinson at +370 (best price across 5 sportsbooks).

Will the Atlanta Falcons or the New Orleans Saints score first?

Our model makes the New Orleans Saints 56% likely to score the game's first touchdown, based on the point spread (NO -2.4) and 1,087 games of historical data.

Who scored the first touchdown in Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints?

Bijan Robinson (ATL) scored the first touchdown in ATL @ NO, closing at +370 in the first TD scorer market.

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints First Touchdown Scorer Odds & Picks: Week 4

Juwan JohnsonTEBet of the gameValueFree pickMissed+1400BetRivers

19 targets ranks No. 3 in NO's target tree, 5 of them inside the 10; for tight ends, inside-10 target share is roughly twice as predictive of first TDs as volume. NO have scored the game's opening TD in 1 of 3 this season (3 of 17 last year); ATL have conceded it in 2 of 3 (10 of 17 last year). The model makes NO 56% to score this game's first touchdown. Model 7.8% against a devigged market 4.7%: +17% EV at +1400 (BetRivers). Staff call: starred as the published free pick; the pick we give out is the bet of the game.

Model 7.8%, market 4.7%, edge +17%

51 picks across 16 games. A rated ★ bet of the game in each.

Falcons at Saints

The picks

First touchdown odds