Week 4 · the locked card
The guarantee: a red week means the next one is on us.
Graded on the public record every Tuesday. If the card you paid for finishes negative, your next week is credited automatically.
Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Steelers at BrownsFirst touchdown odds and our picks, kickoff Thu 8:15pm ET.
Bet of the game
Denzel Boston +1500
At BetMGM. Model 10.2%, market 4.4%.
Missed
To score first
PIT 53%
From the spread, PIT -2.8
Market favorite
Jaylen Warren
+470, the shortest price
First touchdown
Roman Wilson
PIT scored first, +2000
5 in this game, each written up. The starred pick is the one that counts on the record.
Denzel BostonWRBet of the gameValueFree pickMissed+1500BetMGM16 targets ranks No. 3 in CLE's target tree, 2 of them inside the 10. CLE have scored the game's opening TD in 1 of 3 this season (8 of 17 last year); PIT have conceded it in 2 of 3 (8 of 17 last year). The model makes CLE 47% to score this game's first touchdown. Model 10.2% against a devigged market 4.4%: +63% EV at +1500 (BetMGM).
Model 10.2%, market 4.4%, edge +63%
4 more picks with full write-ups in this game. Unlocking the week opens every game.
Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Best price for all 34 players the books list, shortest first.