Week 6 · the locked card
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Cowboys at PackersFirst touchdown odds and our picks, kickoff Sun 8:20pm ET.
Bet of the game
Javonte Williams +450
At DraftKings. Model 15.9%, market 14.7%.
Missed
To score first
GB 54%
From the spread, GB -1.3
Market favorite
Javonte Williams
+450, the shortest price
First touchdown
Matthew Golden
GB scored first, +1100
3 in this game, each written up. The starred pick is the one that counts on the record.
Javonte WilliamsRBBet of the gameLeanFree pickMissed+450DraftKingsWilliams's role is growing: 82% of DAL's carries over the last two games, up from 69% on the season. He's DAL's market favourite and rated above the market (15.9% against a devigged 14.7%), but the best price, +450 (DraftKings), still sits a touch short of fair (-12% EV). Staff call: starred over the model's top-EV pick (Kaleb Johnson) on the most-likely-scorer read.
Model 15.9%, market 14.7%, edge -12%
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Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Best price for all 29 players the books list, shortest first.