Week 1 · the locked card
The guarantee: a red week means the next one is on us.
Graded on the public record every Tuesday. If the card you paid for finishes negative, your next week is credited automatically.
Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Broncos at ChiefsFirst touchdown odds and our picks, kickoff Mon 8:15pm ET.
Bet of the game
No pick
To score first
KC 56%
From the spread, KC -2.4. Thin early-season data
Market favorite
Kenneth Walker III
+500, the shortest price
First touchdown
Patrick Mahomes
KC scored first, +3000
2 in this game, each written up. The starred pick is the one that counts on the record.
RJ HarveyRBValueFree pickMissed+1400DraftKingsProfiles as the goal-line hammer in this backfield. 41.7% of first TDs are punched in from inside the 5, and when goal-line role and volume split, the goal-line back scores 61% of the time. The model makes DEN 44% to score this game's first touchdown. Model 10.5% against a devigged market 4.9% — +58% EV at +1400 (DraftKings).
Model 10.5%, market 4.9%, edge +58%
1 more pick with full write-ups in this game. Unlocking the week opens every game.
Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Best price for all 34 players the books list, shortest first.