SEA 57% to score the first touchdown, SEA -3.1. Thin early-season data on one side
Week 1 · the locked card
36 picks across 16 games. A rated ★ bet of the game in each.
- +Model probability vs the devigged market for every priced player
- +Write-ups built from role data: carries, red zone looks, opening-score form
- +Every price line-shopped across 5 sportsbooks
- +Graded automatically in public every Tuesday
The guarantee: a red week means the next one is on us.
Graded on the public record every Tuesday. If the card you paid for finishes negative, your next week is credited automatically.
Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Weekly card
Week 1 · 2026
16 games · 36 picks · generated Thursday, Sep 10 · graded automatically after the games
Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
The locked card
36 picks across 16 games, a rated bet of the game in each.
Model probabilities against the devigged market, write-ups built from role data, every price line-shopped across 5 sportsbooks. Graded in public every Tuesday.
The guarantee: a red week means the next one is on us. Graded on the public record, credited automatically.
Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Previous games
LA 58% to score the first touchdown, LA -3.6. Thin early-season data on one side
PIT 58% to score the first touchdown, PIT -3.5. Thin early-season data on one side
BAL 55% to score the first touchdown, BAL -3.4. Thin early-season data on one side
BUF 50% to score the first touchdown, BUF -1.2
CHI 54% to score the first touchdown, CHI -3. Thin early-season data on one side
CIN 59% to score the first touchdown, CIN -3.7. Thin early-season data on one side
JAX 67% to score the first touchdown, JAX -8.7. Thin early-season data on one side
DET 64% to score the first touchdown, DET -6.9. Thin early-season data on one side
TEN 53% to score the first touchdown, TEN -0.9. Thin early-season data on one side
LAC 68% to score the first touchdown, LAC -9.4. Thin early-season data on one side
MIN 54% to score the first touchdown, MIN -1.4. Thin early-season data on one side
LV 57% to score the first touchdown, LV -3.1. Thin early-season data on one side
PHI 61% to score the first touchdown, PHI -5.1. Thin early-season data on one side
DAL 54% to score the first touchdown, DAL -2.9. Thin early-season data on one side
KC 56% to score the first touchdown, KC -2.4. Thin early-season data on one side
Free picks by email
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Edge is expected value at the best available price, after removing the vig from the consensus of five sportsbooks. Full graded track record