Profiles as the goal-line hammer in this backfield. 41.7% of first TDs are punched in from inside the 5, and when goal-line role and volume split, the goal-line back scores 61% of the time. The model makes LV 58% to score this game's first touchdown. Best of this board without clearing our strict value bar: model 23.6% vs market 15.7% at +430 (BetRivers). A lean, not a table-thumper.

A red-zone target profile: for tight ends, inside-10 target share is roughly twice as predictive of first TDs as overall volume, and that's exactly what carries his number here. The model makes LV 58% to score this game's first touchdown. Best of this board without clearing our strict value bar: model 3.7% vs market 1.9% at +3000 (BetRivers). A lean, not a table-thumper.