Week 2 · the locked card
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Browns at BuccaneersFirst touchdown odds and our picks, kickoff Sun 1pm ET.
Bet of the game
Denzel Boston +2000
At DraftKings. Model 8.6%, market 2.9%.
Missed
To score first
TB 67%
From the spread, TB -8.5
Market favorite
Bucky Irving
+500, the shortest price
First touchdown
Emeka Egbuka
TB scored first, +950
2 in this game, each written up. The starred pick is the one that counts on the record.
Denzel BostonWRBet of the gameValueFree pickMissed+2000DraftKingsCarries the target-volume path: receivers lead all positions in first TDs, and nearly a quarter of them are 20+ yard strikes, which keeps the primary target live from anywhere on the field. The model makes CLE 33% to score this game's first touchdown. Model 8.6% against a devigged market 2.9% — +81% EV at +2000 (DraftKings).
Model 8.6%, market 2.9%, edge +81%
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Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Best price for all 33 players the books list, shortest first.