Week 2 · the locked card
The guarantee: a red week means the next one is on us.
Graded on the public record every Tuesday. If the card you paid for finishes negative, your next week is credited automatically.
Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Bet of the game
On the card
One starred pick a game, graded on the record.
To score first
BUF 62%
From the spread, BUF -5.4
Market favorite
Jahmyr Gibbs
+400, the shortest price
First touchdown
Josh Allen
BUF scored first, +750
3 in this game, each written up. The starred pick is the one that counts on the record.
Khalil ShakirWRValueFree pickMissed+1600BetMGMCarries the target-volume path: receivers lead all positions in first TDs, and nearly a quarter of them are 20+ yard strikes, which keeps the primary target live from anywhere on the field. The model makes BUF 62% to score this game's first touchdown. Model 7.1% against a devigged market 4.1% — +20% EV at +1600 (BetMGM).
Model 7.1%, market 4.1%, edge +20%
2 more picks with full write-ups in this game. Unlocking the week opens every game.
Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Best price for all 33 players the books list, shortest first.
