Week 2 · the locked card
The guarantee: a red week means the next one is on us.
Graded on the public record every Tuesday. If the card you paid for finishes negative, your next week is credited automatically.
Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Colts at ChiefsFirst touchdown odds and our picks, kickoff Sun 8:20pm ET.
Bet of the game
Tyler Warren +1600
At FanDuel. Model 6.9%, market 3.9%.
Scored first
To score first
KC 64%
From the spread, KC -6.6
Market favorite
Kenneth Walker III
+400, the shortest price
First touchdown
Tyler Warren
IND scored first, +1600
2 in this game, each written up. The starred pick is the one that counts on the record.
Tyler WarrenTEBet of the gameValueFree pickScored first+1600FanDuelA red-zone target profile: for tight ends, inside-10 target share is roughly twice as predictive of first TDs as overall volume, and that's exactly what carries his number here. The model makes IND 36% to score this game's first touchdown. Model 6.9% against a devigged market 3.9% — +17% EV at +1600 (FanDuel).
Model 6.9%, market 3.9%, edge +17%
1 more pick with full write-ups in this game. Unlocking the week opens every game.
Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.
Best price for all 33 players the books list, shortest first.