Week 7 · the locked card

53 picks across 14 games. A rated ★ bet of the game in each.

+Model probability vs the devigged market for every priced player
+Write-ups built from role data: carries, red zone looks, opening-score form
+Every price line-shopped across 5 sportsbooks
+Graded automatically in public every Tuesday

The guarantee: a red week means the next one is on us.

Graded on the public record every Tuesday. If the card you paid for finishes negative, your next week is credited automatically.

Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.

The record and full details

Weekly card

Week 7 · 2026

14 games · 53 picks · generated Thursday, Oct 22 · graded automatically after the games

By gameStaff favorites

Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.

The locked card

53 picks across 14 games, a rated bet of the game in each.

Model probabilities against the devigged market, write-ups built from role data, every price line-shopped across 5 sportsbooks. Graded in public every Tuesday.

The guarantee: a red week means the next one is on us. Graded on the public record, credited automatically.

Every weekly card while subscribed, starting with Week 8. Cancel anytime from your account. This week's card is final; the Week 8 card drops Thursday morning and you're in the moment it's live.

What you get, the record, the guarantee

Previous games

CHIThu 8:20pm ET

CHI 57% to score the first touchdown, CHI -3

PriceBookModelMarket

D'Andre SwiftRBScored first+480BetRivers18%15%

First TD: D'Andre Swift +480Write-ups and odds

NOSun 9:30am ET

PIT 54% to score the first touchdown, PIT -3. Thin early-season data on one side

PriceBookModelMarket

First TD: Darnell Washington +1400Write-ups and odds

ATLSun 1pm ET

SF 53% to score the first touchdown, SF -2.5

PriceBookModelMarket

First TD: Christian McCaffrey +360Write-ups and odds

BALSun 1pm ET

CIN 50% to score the first touchdown, CIN -1

PriceBookModelMarket

First TD: Zay Flowers +1200Write-ups and odds

CARSun 1pm ET

CAR 57% to score the first touchdown, CAR -2.8

PriceBookModelMarket

First TD: Bucky Irving +700Write-ups and odds

TENSun 1pm ET

CLE 52% to score the first touchdown, CLE -1.8

PriceBookModelMarket

First TD: Tony Pollard +550Write-ups and odds

HOUSun 1pm ET

HOU 70% to score the first touchdown, HOU -10.3

PriceBookModelMarket

First TD: Tyrone Tracy Jr. +2200Write-ups and odds

MINSun 1pm ET

MIN 64% to score the first touchdown, MIN -6.5

PriceBookModelMarket

First TD: Jonathan Taylor +550Write-ups and odds

NYJSun 1pm ET

NYJ 60% to score the first touchdown, NYJ -4.5

PriceBookModelMarket

First TD: Caleb Douglas +2000Write-ups and odds

ARISun 4:10pm ET

DEN 57% to score the first touchdown, DEN -4.6

PriceBookModelMarket

First TD: Bo Nix +1850Write-ups and odds

DETSun 4:25pm ET

DET 59% to score the first touchdown, DET -3.8

PriceBookModelMarket

First TD: Jameson Williams +1300Write-ups and odds

LVSun 4:25pm ET

LA 54% to score the first touchdown, LA -3.2

PriceBookModelMarket

First TD: Davis Allen +4000Write-ups and odds

SEASun 8:22pm ET

SEA 57% to score the first touchdown, SEA -3

PriceBookModelMarket

Emanuel WilsonRB+625BetMGM15%11%

First TD: Jaxon Smith-Njigba +650Write-ups and odds

PHIMon 8:18pm ET

DAL 56% to score the first touchdown, DAL -4.2

PriceBookModelMarket

Javonte WilliamsRB+425BetRivers19%16%

First TD: Saquon Barkley +700Write-ups and odds

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Edge is expected value at the best available price, after removing the vig from the consensus of five sportsbooks. Full graded track record