Week 8 · the locked card
The guarantee: a red week means the next one is on us.
Graded on the public record every Tuesday. If the card you paid for finishes negative, your next week is credited automatically.
Every NFL card from Week 8 and the NBA model every night. Cancel anytime from your account.
Bears at SeahawksFirst and anytime touchdown odds and our picks, kickoff Mon 8:20pm ET.
Bet of the game
Sam Darnold +2800
At DraftKings. Model 6.8%, market 3.4%.
To score first
SEA 57%
From the spread, SEA -3
Expected touchdowns
2.3 v 2.8
CHI v SEA, game total 46.5
First touchdown
Pending
2 in this game, each written up. The starred pick is the one that counts on the record.
Sam DarnoldQBBet of the gameLeanFree pick+2800DraftKingsDarnold has 9 carries this season, a real rushing path the market rarely prices on a quarterback. Model 6.8% against a devigged 3.4%: +97% EV at +2800 (DraftKings).
Model 6.8%, market 3.4%, edge +97%
1 more pick with full write-ups in this game. Subscribing opens every game.
Every NFL card from Week 8 and the NBA model every night. Cancel anytime from your account.
Every book's first touchdown price for all 18 players, shortest first. Best price in green. Market is the books' chance with the margin taken out.
Our numbers on every player are for subscribers: anytime, 2+ and first TD chances with the edge at the best price.
Subscribe, $10 a week| Player | Market | Anytime price | DraftKings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR | 15.3% | -105 | +550 |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 15.3% | -110 | +550 |
| AJ BarnerTE | 7.6% | +220 | +1200 |
| Luther Burden IIIWR | 7.1% | +240 | +1300 |
| Colston LovelandTE | 6.6% | +230 | +1400 |
| Cooper KuppWR | 6.2% | +280 | +1500 |
| Rome OdunzeWR | 6.2% | +250 | +1500 |
| Tory HortonWR | 4.3% | +425 | +2200 |
| Kalif RaymondWR | 3.8% | +550 | +2500 |
| Caleb WilliamsQB | 3.8% | +475 | +2500 |
| Sam DarnoldQB | 3.4% | +625 | +2800 |
| Seattle Seahawks D/ST | 3.4% | +2800 | |
| Chicago Bears D/ST | 3.2% | +3000 | |
| Sam RoushTE | 2.4% | +825 | +4000 |
| Eric SaubertTE | 2.1% | +1450 | +4500 |
| Jahdae WalkerWR | 1.2% | +2500 | +8000 |
| Nick KallerupTE | 1.0% | +2800 | +10000 |
| No Touchdown | 0.8% | +13000 |