Week 8 · the locked card
31 picks across 14 games. A rated ★ bet of the game in each.
- +Model probability vs the devigged market for every priced player
- +Every player's anytime, 2+ and first TD chances, with the best price and our edge
- +Write-ups built from role data: carries, red zone looks, opening-score form
- +Every price line-shopped across 5 sportsbooks
- +Graded automatically in public every Tuesday
The guarantee: a red week means the next one is on us.
Graded on the public record every Tuesday. If the card you paid for finishes negative, your next week is credited automatically.
Every NFL card from Week 8 and the NBA model every night. Cancel anytime from your account.
Patriots at Dolphins
First and anytime touchdown odds and our picks, kickoff Sun 4:25pm ET.
Bet of the game
On the card
One starred pick a game, graded on the record.
To score first
NE 61%
From the spread, NE -7
Expected touchdowns
2.9 v 1.8
NE v MIA, game total 43.4
First touchdown
Pending
The picks
3 in this game, each written up. The starred pick is the one that counts on the record.
3 more picks with full write-ups in this game. Subscribing opens every game.
Every NFL card from Week 8 and the NBA model every night. Cancel anytime from your account.
First touchdown odds at every book
Every book's first touchdown price for all 31 players, shortest first. Best price in green. Market is the books' chance with the margin taken out.
Our numbers on every player are for subscribers: anytime, 2+ and first TD chances with the edge at the best price.
Subscribe, $10 a week| Player | Market | Anytime price | Bovada | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetRivers | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 13.7% | -120 | +460 | +475 | +480 | +400 | +425 |
| A.J. BrownWR | 8.9% | +145 | +725 | +750 | +750 | +540 | +700 |
| Ollie Gordon IIRB | 8.7% | +138 | +725 | +750 | +750 | +600 | +700 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 6.3% | +205 | +1100 | +1100 | +1000 | +700 | +1000 |
| Malik WillisQB | 4.6% | +260 | +1400 | +1400 | +1200 | +1000 | +1550 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 4.6% | +320 | +1400 | +1400 | +1600 | +950 | +1300 |
| Drake MayeQB | 4.5% | +330 | +1400 | +1400 | +1600 | +900 | +1450 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 4.2% | +310 | +1500 | +1500 | +1400 | +1100 | +1500 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 3.3% | +340 | +1900 | +1900 | +2200 | +1400 | +1500 |
| Eli RaridonTE | 3.2% | +450 | +2000 | +2000 | +1900 | +1300 | +2000 |
| Efton Chism IIIWR | 3.0% | +450 | +2000 | +2000 | +1900 | +1400 | +2500 |
| Caleb DouglasWR | 3.0% | +425 | +2200 | +2200 | +2000 | +1500 | +1850 |
| Jaylen WrightRB | 2.7% | +500 | +2500 | +2500 | +2200 | +1500 | +2000 |
| Greg DulcichTE | 2.7% | +425 | +2500 | +2500 | +2200 | +1500 | +2200 |
| Corey KinerRB | 2.6% | +600 | +2500 | +2500 | +3000 | +1300 | |
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 2.4% | +650 | +2800 | +3000 | +2500 | +1500 | +2200 |
| New England Patriots D/ST | 2.0% | +2800 | +2800 | +2500 | |||
| Miami Dolphins D/ST | 1.9% | +2800 | +3000 | +2800 | |||
| Chris BellWR | 1.8% | +700 | +2800 | +2800 | +3000 | +3300 | +2800 |
| Miami Dolphins Defense | 1.6% | +3300 | |||||
| New England Patriots Defense | 1.5% | +3500 | |||||
| Will KacmarekTE | 1.0% | +1200 | +5000 | +5500 | +5500 | +4500 | |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.WR | 0.9% | +1450 | +5000 | +5000 | +6500 | +4000 | +8000 |
| Cameron LatuTE | 0.7% | +3300 | +9000 | +9000 | +10000 | +3300 | |
| Tanner ArkinTE | 0.6% | +2500 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +4000 | |
| Jalen TolbertWR | 0.6% | +3000 | +9000 | +9000 | +10000 | +5000 | |
| Jared WayneWR | 0.5% | +3000 | +10000 | +11000 | +10000 | +7000 | +8000 |
| Seydou TraoreTE | 0.5% | +3500 | +10000 | +12000 | +10000 | +7000 | +8000 |
| No Touchdown | 0.5% | +10000 | +11000 | +8000 | |||
| Justin JolyTE | 0.5% | +3500 | +10000 | +12000 | +10000 | +7500 | |
| Kaytron AllenRB | 0.5% | +2500 | +9000 | +9000 | +10000 | +12000 |