Thunder at Spurs

First basket odds and our pick, tip-off 9:30pm ET.

Our pick

Cason Wallace +1400

At FanDuel. Model 8.1%, market 7.1%, fair +1138.

Missed

Jump ball

Holmgren v Wembanyama

SAS 74% to win it

To score first

SAS 57%

The tip winner scores first 64% of the time

First basket

Devin Vassell

SAS won the tip and scored first

First basket odds at every book

Prices when we posted. Best price in green. Model is our chance, market is the books’ chance with the margin taken out.

Player	Model	Market	Fair	BetMGM	BetRivers	Fanatics	FanDuel	Novig	PartyCasino	SugarHouse	theScore Bet
Victor WembanyamaJumper	18%	18%	+464	+375	+350	+370	+390	+376	+375	+350	+380
Chet HolmgrenJumper	13%	9%	+699	+825	+800	+750	+800	+852	+825	+800	+700
De'Aaron Fox	11%	11%	+838	+725	+800	+650	+650	+614	+725	+800	+550
Devin VassellScored first	10%	9%	+940	+875	+900	+800	+800	+733	+875	+900	+800
Stephon Castle	9%	9%	+961	+800	+800	+750	+850	+809	+800	+800	+800
Dylan Harper	9%	10%	+979	+675	+800	+750	+700	+733	+675	+800	+750
Jalen Williams	8%	9%	+1081	+700	+800	+900	+1000	+1011	+700	+800	+1000
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	8%	11%	+1104	+625	+800	+600	+650	+700	+625	+800	+550
Cason Wallace	8%	7%	+1138	+1100	+1000	+1100	+1400	+1011	+1100	+1000	+1100
Isaiah Hartenstein	6%	7%	+1579	+1050	+1000	+1100	+1200	+1150	+1050	+1000