NBA first basket, Thursday, October 29
Grizzlies at Trail Blazers
First basket odds, stats and our pick, tip-off 10pm ET.
Our free pick
Donovan Clingan +1000
At theScore Bet. Model 10.0%, market 8.1%, fair +901.
Jump ball
Edey v Clingan
MEM 65% to win it
To score first
MEM 54%
The tip winner scores first 64% of the time
First basket
Pending
Before the tip
Every game through Oct 28. This season as counts, since 2022-23 beside it.
Jump ball, and our chance to win it
| This season, since 22-23 under it | MEM | POR |
|---|---|---|
| Won the tip | 3 of 459% | 2 of 354% |
| Scored first | 3 of 453% | 1 of 345% |
| After winning the tip | 3 of 364% | 1 of 256% |
| After losing the tip | 0 of 136% | 0 of 132% |
| Shots to their first basket | 1.52.1 | 3.02.3 |
| First point, free throws too | 3 of 455% | 1 of 345% |
Who scores first, player by player
| This season, out of his starts | Starts | First shot | Scored first | Team’s first | Scored first since 22-23 | Team’s first since 22-23 | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEMthe five we model | |||||||
| Cameron Boozer | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 of 4, 0% | 0 of 4, 0% | +750 |
| Jaylen Wells | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 of 147, 6% | 21 of 147, 14% | +1000 |
| Ty Jerome | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 of 24, 21% | 7 of 24, 29% | +550 |
| Cedric Coward | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 of 50, 12% | 11 of 50, 22% | +750 |
| Zach EdeyJumper | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 of 69, 12% | 14 of 69, 20% | +775 |
| PORthe five we model | |||||||
| Toumani Camara | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 of 211, 7% | 36 of 211, 17% | +1200 |
| Deni Avdija | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 of 238, 10% | 47 of 238, 20% | +800 |
| Donovan ClinganJumper | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 of 117, 9% | 24 of 117, 21% | +1000 |
| Damian Lillard | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 of 192, 13% | 45 of 192, 23% | +775 |
| Ja Morant | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 of 141, 16% | 40 of 141, 28% | +900 |
First basket odds at every book
Prices when we posted. Best price in green. Market is the books’ chance with the margin taken out.
The model on every player is for subscribers: our chance, the fair price and the edge at the best price.
| Player | Model | Fair | Edge | Market | BetMGM | BetRivers | Fanatics | FanDuel | PartyCasino | SugarHouse | theScore Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | 14% | +450 | +500 | +525 | +550 | +450 | +500 | +500 | |||
| Zach EdeyJumper | 12% | +775 | +500 | +575 | +550 | +775 | +500 | +500 | |||
| Damian Lillard | 11% | +775 | +600 | +650 | +700 | +775 | +600 | +600 | |||
| Cameron Boozer | 11% | +625 | +700 | +750 | +750 | +625 | +700 | +700 | |||
| Deni Avdija | 10% | +650 | +800 | +650 | +750 | +650 | +800 | +750 | |||
| Cedric Coward | 10% | +750 | +700 | +700 | +750 | +750 | +700 | +750 | |||
| Ja Morant | 9% | +775 | +900 | +750 | +850 | +775 | +900 | +800 | |||
| Donovan ClinganJumper | 8% | +900 | +900 | +900 | +950 | +900 | +900 | +1000 | |||
| Jaylen Wells | 8% | +825 | +1000 | +850 | +1000 | +825 | +1000 | +1000 | |||
| Toumani Camara | 7% | +950 | +1200 | +1100 | +1100 | +950 | +1200 | +1100 |