NBA first basket, Thursday, October 29
Kings at Pelicans
First basket odds, stats and our pick, tip-off 8pm ET.
Our free pick
De'Andre Hunter +1200
At FanDuel. Model 8.6%, market 7.3%, fair +1061.
Jump ball
Sabonis v Jordan
NOP 56% to win it
To score first
NOP 52%
The tip winner scores first 64% of the time
First basket
Pending
Before the tip
Every game through Oct 28. This season as counts, since 2022-23 beside it.
Jump ball, and our chance to win it
| This season, since 22-23 under it | SAC | NOP |
|---|---|---|
| Won the tip | 2 of 438% | 0 of 438% |
| Scored first | 2 of 445% | 1 of 451% |
| After winning the tip | 1 of 266% | 0 of 072% |
| After losing the tip | 1 of 233% | 1 of 439% |
| Shots to their first basket | 1.82.1 | 2.32.2 |
| First point, free throws too | 2 of 446% | 1 of 452% |
Who scores first, player by player
| This season, out of his starts | Starts | First shot | Scored first | Team’s first | Scored first since 22-23 | Team’s first since 22-23 | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SACthe five we model | |||||||
| Domantas SabonisJumper | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 of 250, 12% | 74 of 250, 30% | +700 |
| De'Andre Hunter | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 of 142, 15% | 34 of 142, 24% | +1200 |
| Zach LaVine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 of 215, 10% | 40 of 215, 19% | +950 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 of 4, 0% | 0 of 4, 0% | +900 |
| Precious Achiuwa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 of 99, 9% | 17 of 99, 17% | +1300 |
| NOPthe five we model | |||||||
| Zion Williamson | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 of 188, 10% | 41 of 188, 22% | +550 |
| Trey Murphy III | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 of 209, 8% | 35 of 209, 17% | +700 |
| Dejounte Murray | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 of 201, 12% | 44 of 201, 22% | +700 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 of 53, 13% | 12 of 53, 23% | +700 |
| DeAndre JordanJumper | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 of 24, 0% | 4 of 24, 17% | +900 |
First basket odds at every book
Prices when we posted. Best price in green. Market is the books’ chance with the margin taken out.
The model on every player is for subscribers: our chance, the fair price and the edge at the best price.
| Player | Model | Fair | Edge | Market | BetMGM | BetRivers | FanDuel | PartyCasino | SugarHouse | theScore Bet | Fanatics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 14% | +550 | +500 | +500 | +550 | +500 | +475 | +500 | |||
| Dejounte Murray | 12% | +625 | +650 | +700 | +625 | +650 | +600 | +600 | |||
| Trey Murphy III | 11% | +600 | +650 | +650 | +600 | +650 | +700 | +650 | |||
| Domantas SabonisJumper | 11% | +575 | +700 | +700 | +575 | +700 | +700 | +600 | |||
| Jeremiah Fears | 11% | +700 | +650 | +650 | +700 | +650 | +600 | +650 | |||
| DeAndre JordanJumper | 9% | +900 | +700 | +800 | +900 | +700 | +900 | ||||
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 9% | +750 | +900 | +850 | +750 | +900 | +800 | +850 | |||
| Zach LaVine | 9% | +950 | +900 | +900 | +950 | +900 | +800 | +850 | |||
| Precious Achiuwa | 7% | +850 | +1200 | +1300 | +850 | +1200 | +1100 | +900 | |||
| De'Andre Hunter | 7% | +950 | +1200 | +1200 | +950 | +1200 | +1000 | +1000 |