Our pick
Luka Doncic +475
At BetMGM. Model 13.7%, market 15.4%, fair +632.
Scored first
Jump ball
Kessler v Hayes
LAL 58% to win it
To score first
LAL 52%
The tip winner scores first 64% of the time
First basket
Luka Doncic
LAL won the tip and scored first
First basket odds at every book
Prices when we posted. Best price in green. Model is our chance, market is the books’ chance with the margin taken out.
| Player | Model | Market | Fair | BetMGM | FanDuel | PartyCasino | theScore Bet | Fanatics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luka DoncicScored first | 14% | 15% | +632 | +475 | +460 | +475 | +450 | +420 |
| Walker KesslerJumper | 14% | 13% | +639 | +550 | +550 | +550 | +500 | +525 |
| Austin Reaves | 11% | 12% | +800 | +575 | +700 | +575 | +700 | +650 |
 Jaren Jackson Jr. | 10% | 11% | +890 | +575 | +800 | +575 | +700 | +750 |
| Lauri Markkanen | 10% | 11% | +898 | +700 | +650 | +700 | +600 | +650 |
| Keyonte George | 9% | 9% | +975 | +800 | +850 | +800 | +800 | +800 |
| Ace Bailey | 9% | 9% | +996 | +950 | +950 | +750 | ||
| Jaxson HayesJumper | 9% | 9% | +1002 | +950 | +800 | |||
| Ziaire Williams | 7% | 8% | +1253 | +1100 | +950 | +1100 | +900 | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 7% | 7% | +1394 | +1100 | +1200 | +1100 | +1100 |