NBA first basket, Sunday, October 25

Raptors at Timberwolves
First basket odds and our pick, tip-off 7pm ET.
Our pick
Jakob Poeltl +950
At FanDuel. Model 11.1%, market 9.0%, fair +798.
Missed
Jump ball
Poeltl v Gobert
TOR 54% to win it
To score first
TOR 51%
The tip winner scores first 64% of the time
First basket
Rudy Gobert
TOR won the tip, MIN scored first
First basket odds at every book
Prices when we posted. Best price in green. Model is our chance, market is the books’ chance with the margin taken out.
| Player | Model | Market | Fair | BetMGM | Fanatics | FanDuel | PartyCasino | theScore Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12% | 13% | +745 | +575 | +550 | +600 | +575 | +500 | |
| 11% | 9% | +798 | +700 | +900 | +950 | +700 | +900 | |
| 11% | 12% | +811 | +725 | +525 | +550 | +725 | +550 | |
| 11% | 9% | +818 | +825 | +750 | +850 | +825 | +800 | |
| 10% | 10% | +883 | +750 | +700 | +800 | +750 | +700 | |
| 10% | 10% | +918 | +825 | +750 | +700 | +825 | +700 | |
| 9% | 9% | +973 | +700 | +900 | +950 | +700 | +800 | |
| 9% | 10% | +989 | +900 | +700 | +700 | +900 | +700 | |
| 9% | 9% | +1020 | +650 | +900 | +900 | +650 | +900 | |
| 8% | 10% | +1192 | +700 | +750 | +850 | +700 | +800 |