Mavericks at Heat

First basket odds and our pick, tip-off 7:30pm ET.

Our pick

Bam Adebayo +525

At Fanatics. Model 18.2%, market 13.8%, fair +450.

Missed

Jump ball

Gafford v Adebayo

MIA 76% to win it

To score first

MIA 57%

The tip winner scores first 64% of the time

First basket

Davion Mitchell

MIA won the tip and scored first

First basket odds at every book

Prices when we posted. Best price in green. Model is our chance, market is the books’ chance with the margin taken out.

Player	Model	Market	Fair	BetMGM	BetRivers	Fanatics	PartyCasino	SugarHouse	theScore Bet	FanDuel
Bam AdebayoJumper	18%	14%	+450	+500	+500	+525	+500	+500	+475
Giannis Antetokounmpo	12%	21%	+753	+400	+350	+325	+400	+350	+320	+310
Klay Thompson	10%	10%	+928	+950	+800	+750	+950	+800	+800	+850
Andrew Wiggins	10%	10%	+945	+550	+900	+800	+550	+900	+900
Kyrie Irving	10%	10%	+948	+700	+800	+800	+700	+800	+800
Daniel GaffordJumper	9%	9%	+975	+1050	+1000	+900	+1050	+1000	+900	+1000
Cooper Flagg	9%	10%	+991	+675	+800	+700	+675	+800	+750
Davion MitchellScored first	8%	9%	+1143	+875	+900	+900	+875	+900	+1000	+1000
P.J. Washington Jr.	8%	8%	+1145	+950	+1000	+1100	+950	+1000	+1000
Max Christie	7%	7%	+1388	+1150	+1200	+1100	+1150	+1200	+1100	+1300