NBA first basket, Monday, October 26
Timberwolves at Cavaliers
First basket odds and our pick, tip-off 7pm ET.
Our pick
Peyton Watson +1000
At FanDuel. Model 9.6%, market 8.1%, fair +940.
Missed
Jump ball
Gobert v Allen
CLE 66% to win it
To score first
CLE 55%
The tip winner scores first 64% of the time
First basket
Jarrett Allen
CLE won the tip and scored first
First basket odds at every book
Prices when we posted. Best price in green. Model is our chance, market is the books’ chance with the margin taken out.
| Player | Model | Market | Fair | BetMGM | BetRivers | Fanatics | FanDuel | PartyCasino | SugarHouse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett AllenJumperScored first | 14% | 13% | +623 | +625 | +500 | +500 | +500 | +625 | +500 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 12% | 12% | +754 | +525 | +600 | +575 | +650 | +525 | +600 |
| Evan Mobley | 11% | 12% | +800 | +600 | +600 | +525 | +550 | +600 | +600 |
| Anthony Edwards | 11% | 12% | +811 | +600 | +600 | +600 | +650 | +600 | +600 |
| Peyton Watson | 10% | 8% | +940 | +800 | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 | +800 | +1000 |
| LaMelo Ball | 9% | 9% | +964 | +700 | +800 | +750 | +900 | +700 | +800 |
| Rudy GobertJumper | 9% | 9% | +980 | +1000 | +800 | +800 | +800 | +1000 | +800 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 9% | 8% | +1058 | +750 | +1000 | +900 | +1100 | +750 | +1000 |
| James Harden | 8% | 8% | +1102 | +875 | +900 | +900 | +850 | +875 | +900 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 7% | 8% | +1300 | +825 | +900 | +900 | +1100 | +825 | +900 |