NBA first basket, Saturday, October 24

Spurs at Mavericks
First basket odds and our pick, tip-off 8pm ET.
Our pick
Naji Marshall +1500
At FanDuel. Model 7.6%, market 7.4%, fair +1220.
Missed
Jump ball
Wembanyama v Gafford
SAS 83% to win it
To score first
SAS 59%
The tip winner scores first 64% of the time
First basket
De'Aaron Fox
SAS won the tip and scored first
First basket odds at every book
Prices when we posted. Best price in green. Model is our chance, market is the books’ chance with the margin taken out.
| Player | Model | Market | Fair | Fanatics | BetMGM | BetRivers | FanDuel | PartyCasino | SugarHouse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 22% | +453 | +275 | +333 | +250 | +260 | +333 | +250 | |
| 11% | 10% | +811 | +700 | +725 | +700 | +700 | +725 | +700 | |
| 10% | 11% | +870 | +650 | +600 | +700 | +700 | +600 | +700 | |
| 10% | 10% | +899 | +700 | +850 | +700 | +700 | +850 | +700 | |
| 10% | 10% | +910 | +700 | +675 | +700 | +700 | +675 | +700 | |
| 10% | 8% | +936 | +850 | +900 | +900 | +900 | |||
| 9% | 8% | +976 | +850 | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 | |
| 8% | 7% | +1150 | +1000 | +850 | +1200 | +1200 | +850 | +1200 | |
| 8% | 7% | +1220 | +1100 | +725 | +1200 | +1500 | +725 | +1200 | |
| 6% | 7% | +1511 | +1200 | +1050 | +1050 |