Warriors at Lakers

First basket odds and our pick, tip-off 10pm ET.

Our pick

Austin Reaves +600

At FanDuel. Model 15.7%, market 15.0%, fair +538.

Missed

Jump ball

Green v Reaves

LAL 60% to win it

To score first

LAL 53%

The tip winner scores first 64% of the time

First basket

Walker Kessler

LAL won the tip and scored first

First basket odds at every book

Prices when we posted. Best price in green. Model is our chance, market is the books’ chance with the margin taken out.

Player	Model	Market	Fair	BetMGM	BetRivers	FanDuel	PartyCasino	SugarHouse	Novig	theScore Bet	Fanatics
Austin ReavesJumper	16%	15%	+538	+475	+600	+600	+475	+600	+590	+550	+575
Luka Doncic	14%	21%	+622	+400	+400	+360	+400	+400	+300	+360	+340
Stephen Curry	11%	12%	+847	+750	+700	+800	+750	+700	+733	+750	+750
Draymond GreenJumper	10%	8%	+875	+1100	+1200	+1100	+1100	+1200	+953	+1100
De'Anthony Melton	9%	9%	+998	+850	+1000	+1200	+850	+1000		+1000
Gui Santos	9%	9%	+1007	+825	+1000	+1100	+825	+1000	+1076	+1000	+1000
Quentin Grimes	9%	9%	+1030	+875			+875		+1011	+1000	+1000
Yaxel Lendeborg	8%	11%	+1112	+750	+800	+850	+750	+800	+852	+800	+800
Ziaire Williams	8%	8%	+1208	+1050	+1200	+1200	+1050	+1200			+1000
Matisse Thybulle	7%	9%	+1377		+1000	+1100		+1000	+1076